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September 28, 2021

Why 'Strong Opinions Weekly Held'

Previously on this blog I wrote a short note on Why Strong Opinions Weakly Held. I’m trying to get something out every week. Hence the new blog title.

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August 28, 2020

Why 'Strong Opinions Weakly Held'

Origins of the phrase The title of this blog is Strong Opinions, Weakly Held. The same concept shows up elsewhere are Strong Opinions Loosely Held. An eponymous essay by Paul Saffo in (2020) introduced the world to this concept. In his essay – which isn’t very long if you would like to read the whole thing yourself – he lays out the concept as follows: I have found that the fastest way to an effective forecast is often through a sequence of lousy forecasts.

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July 27, 2020

How This Blog Works

How I put this site together and why.

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